Large private sector banks are safe bets for investments in BFSI stocks
High collections boost sentiment, but clarity on gross NPAs will emerge only after DecemberThe Nifty Financial Services Index is down 8.9 per cent over the past year. However, it has rebounded strongly in recent months: It has risen 13.8 per cent over the past month and 16.4 per cent over the past three months. The big question is whether this rebound will sustain. A number of factors have contributed to the recent rally in banking and financial services stocks. "Going by the high-frequency indicators, the economy appears to be getting back on its feet. And while earlier there was talk that banks would have to bear the interest cost on loans under moratorium, now it seems only the interest-on-interest will be waived, and even that burden would be borne by the government for loans up to Rs 2 crore," says Dhimant Kothari, fund manager, Invesco Mutual Fund. When the lockdown started, estimates on the percentage of loans that would go for moratorium were very high at about 30 per cent. But major reported a collection efficiency of 95 per cent in the last week of September and 97 per cent in the first fortnight of October. "Whether it is asset quality slippage or restructuring requests, the figures,
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